Summer Weather Outlook: What You Need to Know
Summer is upon us, and the experts at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration‘s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center have released their summer weather outlook for 2024. We’re close enough to June, July and August now, that the NOAA tends to be very accurate when it comes to these shorter-range forecasts. So, at this point, you can trust that the NOAA trends will likely be what we experience in the warm summer months.
Summer Weather Outlook for 2024
The big question, of course, for the summer weather outlook is whether we’ll get a sweltering or cool summer in the U.S. Also, people want to know what kind of precipitation to expect. In the summer months, droughts are a major concern. Dry weather can also lead to forest fires, as we saw last year on the West Coast and in Canada.
The meteorological summer is from June 1 to August 31, so that’s the range of the NOAA’s forecast. Their new summer weather outlook has almost all of the U.S. experiencing warmer temperatures than usual. The greatest chance for hotter-than-normal temperatures is out West, in states such as Nevada and Idaho. Looking at the Northeast and states such as Pennsylvania, Delaware and New Jersey, as well as the Midwest and states like Michigan, they’re looking at 40% to 50% chance of above normal temperatures. The further Northeast you get, though, the higher the likelihood of having above-average temperatures. Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas are also looking to have a 40% to 50% chance of above normal temperatures. According to the forecast, no parts of the U.S. should expect a colder than normal summer. As for precipitation, the Midwest, including Michigan, is looking at average rainfall. Out West, including Nevada, is looking at drier conditions. Meanwhile, both the Northeast and South, including states such as Pennsylvania, Delaware, New Jersey, Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas, are looking at a 33% to 50% chance of having more precipitation than normal.
The Farmer’s Almanac also has their summer weather outlook out for 2024. In it, they state that this summer, “may bring the hottest temperatures in recorded history.” They have the Midwest, including Michigan, as “muggy, stormy.” The Northeast, they say, will be, “sultry, soggy”; Florida and Georgia will be “steamy, thundery”; and out West, including Nevada, will be “hot, dry.” Also, the Weather Company recently released a summer forecast stating that warmer-than-average conditions are expected throughout much of the U.S. this summer. They also say this summer could be “one of the nation’s hottest.” Meanwhile, AccuWeather warns of a severe hurricane season this year. So, this summer, you need to know to protect yourself from the sun and expect dry conditions if you’re out West.
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