Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies: Odds, Spread, and Totals
The Miami Marlins will make a crucial visit up north to face the rival Philadelphia Phillies tonight. The Marlins are not technically eliminated from postseason contention, but they would need…
The Miami Marlins will make a crucial visit up north to face the rival Philadelphia Phillies tonight. The Marlins are not technically eliminated from postseason contention, but they would need a downright absurd amount of help from nearly every team in the NL Wild Card race to secure the final playoff spot. Meanwhile, the Phillies have clinched the NL East crown, now playing only for the chance to unseat the Milwaukee Brewers as the first seed in the National League.
Miami's season has not had many bright spots, but young starter Edward Cabrera has been one of them. The righty has started 24 games and has posted a 3.57 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP, some of the best numbers on the team. In his lone start against the Phillies, Cabrera managed to work through 6.1 innings while only allowing a single run. A similar performance would almost certainly keep the Marlins' postseason hopes alive.
Despite several high-profile injuries, the Phillies have managed to maintain one of the best starting rotations in the MLB. Cristopher Sanchez, tonight's starter, is more than capable of acting as the team's ace in the absence of Zack Wheeler, as shown by his 2.66 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. He has faced the Marlins twice in 2025, dominating each time to the tune of eight and seven innings of one-run ball.
Spread
- Marlins +1.5 (-104)
- Phillies -1.5 (-106)
Moneyline
- Marlins +194
- Phillies -211
Totals
- Over 8 (-103)
- Under 8 (-107)
*The above data was collected on Sept. 23, 2025, and may have changed since writing.
Marlins vs Phillies Betting Trends
- The Marlins are 90-66 ATS this season.
- The Marlins are 49-29 ATS when playing on the road.
- The over is 24-21-1 when Miami plays an NL East opponent.
- The Phillies are 83-73 ATS this year.
- The Phillies are 39-36 ATS when they play at home.
- The under is 31-26-6 in games that follow a Philadelphia loss.
Marlins vs Phillies Injury Reports
Miami Marlins
- Kyle Stowers, OF - Out
Philadelphia Phillies
- Trea Turner, SS - Out
- Edmundo Sosa, INF - Out
- Jose Alvarado, RP - Out
- Jordan Romano, RP - Out
Marlins vs Phillies Prediction and Pick
Tony Tellez of Tony's Picks writes, "Miami is batting .261 in their past 28 games with the Phillies .270. Cabrera on the road has an ERA of 4.47. Miami's bullpen in their past 28 games has an ERA of 5.25, with the Phillies' bullpen ERA of 4.46. The Marlins are 14-5 to the over on the road, facing a team averaging 1.25 home runs per game or greater. The Phillies are 6-1 to the over in their past seven at home. Play Miami and Philadelphia over 8."
The over is a decent pick, but the best selection is the Miami spread. The Marlins have consistently covered in games like this, and this is one of the few times they have a decent starter on the bump. It is tough to see Miami actually pulling out a win in this game, but it should go down to the wire, allowing the Marlins to snatch another cover tonight.
